Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.364837 4.868054e-01 0.627810 0.800392 1.003451 1.232417 1.507701
2025-10-26 0.183812 3.187295e-01 0.501207 0.754377 1.085029 1.491345 2.017205
2025-11-02 0.096683 2.253788e-01 0.430184 0.749029 1.203433 1.800334 2.615535
2025-11-09 0.044242 1.508630e-01 0.355672 0.714400 1.269239 2.042103 3.146278
2025-11-16 0.023456 1.179636e-01 0.333204 0.747685 1.429072 2.418420 3.875932
2025-11-23 0.010069 8.609163e-02 0.297752 0.748164 1.534507 2.721860 4.520971
2025-11-30 0.005125 7.295560e-02 0.295240 0.804171 1.730404 3.166035 5.381581
2025-12-07 0.002038 5.895006e-02 0.283513 0.838412 1.890901 3.563934 6.191105
2025-12-14 0.000495 4.489587e-02 0.263394 0.849862 2.010683 3.903256 6.926487
2025-12-21 0.000025 3.124810e-02 0.234430 0.834272 2.078122 4.161235 7.548631
2025-12-28 NaN 2.360701e-02 0.220296 0.848288 2.198804 4.507259 8.311502
2026-01-04 NaN 1.685241e-02 0.202943 0.849631 2.293679 4.813459 9.021437
2026-01-11 NaN 9.991047e-03 0.175303 0.818337 2.324093 5.019016 9.592330
2026-01-18 NaN 5.689177e-03 0.153224 0.795341 2.367733 5.247967 10.206898
2026-01-25 NaN 3.585662e-03 0.142296 0.802010 2.472812 5.585939 11.002302
2026-02-01 NaN 1.590799e-03 0.121955 0.771754 2.494690 5.778594 11.571203
2026-02-08 NaN 1.132951e-03 0.121797 0.810062 2.670330 6.249131 12.597257
2026-02-15 NaN 5.337828e-04 0.112374 0.812200 2.764021 6.575695 13.397526
2026-02-22 NaN 4.489897e-04 0.117898 0.872333 2.994828 7.156869 14.623876
2026-03-01 NaN 2.778732e-04 0.117454 0.909010 3.172971 7.646887 15.710085
2026-03-08 NaN 1.091210e-04 0.111371 0.921356 3.294337 8.036207 16.638236
2026-03-15 NaN 1.356584e-05 0.099451 0.904982 3.345127 8.296140 17.357436
2026-03-22 NaN 9.195459e-07 0.094969 0.919872 3.472612 8.702000 18.325791